Seth Walder ESPN Analytics

Alabama has an 81% chance to beat Notre Dame, per FPI.

Alabama has an 81% chance to beat Notre Dame, per FPI.
FPI makes Clemson a 50.3% favorite to win its semifinal over OSU. Clemson and Ohio State are so close in team strength, however, that if that game had been in Arlington the Buckeyes would have been narrow favorites.
An average top-25 team would have: -A 14% chance to go 10-1 against Notre Dame schedule -A 15% chance to go 8-1 against Texas A&M's schedule -A 28% chance to 9-0 against Cincinnati's schedule -A 51% chance to go 8-2 against Oklahoma's schedule
The Allstate Playoff Predictor's final playoff projections: Alabama 99% Ohio State 89% Clemson 84% Notre Dame 67% Texas A&M 34% Cincinnati 18% Oklahoma 4% Notre Dame has a superior resume (per Strength of Record) and is the better team (per FPI) relative to Texas A&M, which is why the model leans toward the Fighting Irish for the fourth spot in the playoff.
Updated chance to reach the playoff after the noon window games, per the Allstate Playoff Predictor: Alabama 97% Ohio State 94% Clemson 63% Notre Dame 60% Texas A&M 47% Cincinnati 22% Florida 5% Oklahoma 4%
Jim Phillips, reportedly the ACC's top choice for commissioner, has been Northwestern AD since 2008, a longer tenure than all but 1 of his 20 predecessors at NU (Kenneth "Tug" Wilson was AD 1925-45). Phillips succeeded Mark Murphy - who became Green Bay Packers president - and has overseen unprecedented athletic, academic, community service & facilities development achievements, with the top Graduation Success Rate (GSR) in the FBS the last three years & a top-4 finish every year.
Look who snuck into the Allstate Playoff Predictor's list of the 10 most likely playoff teams after beating BYU...
Where will your team be ranked tonight by the College Football Playoff committee? The Allstate Playoff Predictor has its guess.
Who controls their own destiny? These are the teams with the best chance to reach the playoff if they win out. Teams like Alabama, Notre Dame and Ohio State have a clear path. But for teams like USC and Cincinnati, the future is murkier.
Following its upset win over Wisconsin, Northwestern now has the best Strength of Record in the country. An average top-25 team would have had a 9% chance to record the 5-0 record that the Wildcats have against they faced. Northwestern is just ahead of Alabama, Notre Dame and Cincinnati, respectively.
The Big Ten has the best chance of any conference to put multiple teams in the playoff, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor. The Pac-12 has a 35% shot to put a single team in.
The Allstate Playoff Predictor currently gives Northwestern and Indiana just a 3% and 2% chance to reach the playoff, respectively. But that would change quite a bit in the unlikely event both teams win on Saturday.
Allstate Playoff Predictor
An early look at the playoff leverage for Clemson-Notre Dame, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor. The Fighting Irish and Tigers would have basically the same chance at a playoff bid if Notre Dame wins.
Allstate Playoff Predictor
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